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Classification: What are the types of risks in
the financial services industry?
Having the ability to identify
where risks arise in a business is all well and good. However, knowing
that the risks are there will not save a financial institution from
disasters. If we imagine that the various types/classes of risks are the
'enemy' and the identification section has located where the enemy
are, the next step is to classify them so that we know what we're dealing
with.
Risk professionals use a whole zoo of names to describe and
classify the risks they deal with. Some of them are very obvious, but
others more abstract. I shall try and list the more common ones below and
what the risk professionals in each area are seeking to do. Again, I don't
have a full understanding on each and everyone of these areas, but I shall
attempt to at least cover the basics and the essence of each of the areas
of risk. If you feel that I've made some fundamental error in describing
any of these topics, please feel free to contact me.
The list of risks below constructed based on the degree of 'obviousness'
and it is in the same order as that given in the identification
section.
1) Market Risk: As the name suggests, this is the
risk exposure arise out of the movement of the market and only of the
market. Any financial institution that has a proprietary trading operation
(as distinguished from sales and brokerage operations) will be exposed to
some sort of market risk. Proprietary trading ("prop desks" as commonly
know in the market, but other names have been used to disguise its true
nature) is all about taking a view of the possible movements of a market over a
given length of time. Most modern securities or commodities markets are
considered to be efficient (from the efficient market hypothesis) and
under this assumption, unless you've superior information, which is not
possible in truly efficient markets, you can't beat the market as you're
in turn influencing the market by your trading action. Your view of the
direction of a particular stock or the market in general may prove to
right or wrong, as always market can go as well as down. That, at a
simplistic level, is where market risk arise. However, in fact, even the
most efficient of markets are not completely efficient. Why else would
people hire all these traders? A secondary form of market risk is
liquidity risk. If a particular trading position becomes unprofitable,
the trader may want to close out the position by buying or selling the
security in the market. However, not all markets and not all securities
are equally liquid and the firm faces the possibility that the position
may continue to loose money as the trader tries to square his/her books.
2) Credit
Risk: In certain
manifestations, credit risk is the easiest type of risk to understand - it
arises when someone owes you a credit - you're waiting for that someone to
pay you or repay you, depending the nature of the transaction. Armed with
this understanding, it means that every time you lend anyone money, you
have a credit risk. However, credit risk also arises when you've given out
guarantees (or equivalent) - in fact, no money has left your organization,
but, if the person or entity that you're guaranteeing fails to meet
his/her/its obligation, your organization is liable to make up the
payment. Another area where credit risk arises is the transactions
involving securities or commodities. This is a special area within
credit risk called counterparty risk which looks at the risk
exposure to other market participants. Few securities market truly function
in a delivery-verses-payment fashion (DVP) - the simultaneous exchange of
money and securities or commodities. There is usually a period after
trading but before the real settlement (completion) of the transaction,
and all kinds of things can happen in this brief period. Also the
settlement of the transaction can go wrong for one reason or another and
the trade, in effect, fails. Not only does credit risk appears in the
lending and secondary markets, the derivatives market is full of credit
risk also. Although derivatives transactions are off-balance sheet, there
are elements of the transactions that will have on-balance sheet
implication - the movement of markets (mark-to-market). All these aspects
of credit risk has to be accounted. Two other forms of credit risk are
commonly referred to as collateral risk and correlation risk.
These are closely related in that they both deal with the collateral given
by the client to secure the loan. Collateral risk arises as a result of
miscalculation of the value of the collateral, either due to market
movements or incorrect initial assessment. Correlation risk is the result
of the collateral given by the client being closely related to the
performance of the client itself - pledging shares of a company to secure
a loan - if the company enters a default situation and the business
environment is bleak, both the loan and the collateral become worthless.
3)
Operational risk: The
risk exposure that appears as the result of failure of a financial
institution's internal operation is called operational risk. The operation
side of financial
institutions are gigantic processing machines and any machine is only as
strong or efficient as its weakest link. In modern day securities markets,
securities are often bought and sold through intermediaries - these are
usually brokerages. However, any investment bank can perform that function
for their clients. All this means that it is entirely possible that for
any given traded security, real buyer may be dozen trades away from the
real seller. If, for one reason or another, an institution along this
supply chain fail to complete the trade, it will affect the settlement of
trades further down the line. In the event that a trade fails and the
institution is required to deliver the security to another one, it has to
go to the market to borrow the stock, bond or whatever to fulfill its
obligation and eventually source to return the borrowed security. All of
this costs money. Another example of operational risk is the failure to
settle complex derivative-based transactions. Financial institutions often
invent new tradable objects and if the operation side of the organization
is not up to speed with the methods of settlement, it will lead to
breakdowns.
4) Legal and Regulatory
Risks: The reason financial markets are able to function is because
the legal and regulatory framework within which the markets are allow to
operate. Many of these legal and regulatory limits are in fact 'common
sense' for the experienced operators in the market, particularly on the
secondary and tertiary markets where the boundaries are fairly clearly
laid out. However, whenever new products or new securities are created,
marketers are often extending the legal and regulatory frameworks to cover
them. Let's imagine, a bond has been structured to provide debt financing
for a low credit quality borrower. Unfortunately the borrower could not keep up with
the interest payment and defaulted. While I'm not suggesting that legal
problems only come in in a default situation, it is in such situation that
the legal work carried out by the financial institution and its lawyers
comes under the most severe scrutiny. Another situation where potential
legal and regulatory problem may arise is when dealing with clients. The
global financial markets are the favorite tool criminals utilize
for money laundering. Regulatory bodies in sophisticated financial markets
have stringent rules that market participants need to follow to ensure
that the chances of allowing criminals to operate are minimized and those who managed
to slip through the net will be found, eventually. All these rules can be
summarized into the phase "know your client". For those who deal with
clients on in financial markets, it takes minimal time to find out who the
client really is, but in the heat of the moment, it may be a little too
much to ask for. For corporate financiers and origination teams,
especially those who deal with clients from parts of the world where legal
and regulatory standards are not as high as those of the 'developed markets', this
may post the a bigger problem. Extensive legal and financial due diligence
need to be carried out to ensure that an accurate representation of the
client is made and the organization is not facilitating criminal
activities.
5) Reputation and
Underwriting Risks: In a cut-throat
competitive market, an organization's reputation is probably the only
competitive advantage it has over its rivals. Of course, if a financial
institution fails to observe the rules and regulations that it operates
under, it may cause significant damage to its reputation. However, reputation
risk doesn't necessarily arise out of breaking of the rules. Failure to
execute a well-publicized transaction or loosing a transaction to a rival
may incur damages to the operators reputation in a certain market.
Execution risk, a risk of failing to complete a mandated transaction
for the client, is a derivative of reputation risk and usually has a
tangible monetary value attached to it - the fees of transactions. Even
when mandated transactions can be successfully completed, there is always
an underwriting risk involved. At times of volatile market
conditions or when the market willing to in return for providing
financing (ie. its perception of the quality of the issuer or borrower) is
significantly different from that the issuer or borrower, the lead manager
may ended up launching the transaction into the market without adequate
subscription. The remaining amounts will end up in the lead manager's
balance sheet. Once a transaction has 'seasoned' and the residual amounts
that still remain in the lead manager's books will be subjected to market and
credit risks measurements.
6)
Systemic Risk: This is probably one risk category that risk
managers fear most. Systemic risk usually arise out of an event, hence
event risk is a large sub-set of systemic risk. For those who claim
that they're equipped to manage such risk, they're either very well
equipped or they're fooling themselves. Being a fast moving market, the
financial services sector is capable to react to changes. However,
event-driven systemic risk tends to arise in a very short space of time which
does not allow risk managers adequate time to react to the situation.
Additionally, the majority of market transactions are carried out between
financial institutions, the problem quickly accumulate, the domino effect
sets in and drives the market further and further into trouble. Another
form of system risk is the break down of a particular market in a
relatively isolated fashion. Modern financial markets are highly
interconnected, geographically as well as across different products,
thanks to globalization and high level of sophistication. However, in many
of today's 'emerging markets' or even 'converging markets', there are
still a degree of isolation which means that if a particular market breaks
down, the impact will not spread throughout the entire global market.
Since the number of participants in such markets are usually limited and
their exposures are relatively small by global markets standards, the
overall risk tend to be relatively small even for the dominant player in a
particular local market. In this type of situations, it is entirely up to
the foresightedness of the risk managers to 'see' the weakness of the
system/market and respond to it in a timely fashion - reducing exposure
prior to a breakdown. |